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5 predictions for Nebraska football vs. Northern Illinois

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Nebraska football
Sep 9, 2023; Boulder, Colorado, USA; Nebraska Cornhuskers head coach Matt Ruhle during the fourth quarter against the Colorado Buffaloes at Folsom Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Looking ahead to Nebraska football vs. Northern Illinois, here are five predictions for the Huskers and a score.

For the first time this season, Nebraska football will play inside Lincoln Memorial Stadium, making the Huskers the final FBS college football team to play a home game.

That shows how tough the schedule has been for Matt Rhule. It also didn’t help that Minnesota was a 9-win team a season ago and Colorado is much, much better than expected.

Of course, when you have a first-round pick at quarterback in Shedeur Sanders and a dude in Travis Hunter who might be a first-round at cornerback or wideout, it’s easy to see why the Buffs are so good.

Northern Illinois is 1-1. The Huskies beat Boston College but dropped a 14-11 game to Southern Illinois last week. Nebraska football is an 11-point favorite heading into Saturday and here are five predictions.

Heinrich Haarberg will start and have a mixed review

It doesn’t feel like Jeff Sims is going to play tomorrow. High ankle sprains are tricky and it feels like Nebraska has been preparing for Heinrich Haarberg to start.

Haarberg attempted six passes a week ago and did throw a touchdown late to Thomas Fidone. But this will be his first test and Northern Illinois will be able to prepare for him too.

I don’t think that he’s going to set the world on fire as a passer. I do see him throwing for 100 yards or so, but mostly Haarberg will do damage as a runner. He’s a great athlete and Nebraska should be able to win the trenches with its offensive line.

Nebraska is averaging 5.2 yards per attempt and my guess is that between the backs, and Haarberg, we’ll only see 15-20 pass attempts. It might not be pretty, but as long as he avoids multiple turnovers, the Huskers should be able to win with him under center this week.

The ground game goes for 300

If there is one really bold prediction I have for this game it’s that the Huskers will run for 300 yards on Saturday. Northern Illinois is allowing 4.1 yards per attempt but Boston College racked up 5.2, which is the season average of the Huskers.

I believe that Gabe Ervin is going to get 20 carries and he’ll hit 100 yards for the first time in his career after 74 yards on 17 carries last week. Anthony Grant and Rahmir Johnson will also be involved, as will Haarberg, who is a really talented runner.

It’s time to put a hat on a hat and play some Nebraska football.

Nebraska gets a break on turnovers

People love to say “If only we didn’t have the turnovers, we could have won” sort of thing, but bad teams turn the ball over. Good teams take it away and protect it.

Nebraska hasn’t been a good team through two weeks. It’s minus six in turnover ratio. That has to change this week and since Northern Illinois has just one takeaway in two games, it seems realistic.

I think with Haarberg, there will be a somewhat conservative gameplan and hopefully, all the other issues have been ironed out in terms of fumbling the ball, which hasn’t just been a problem with Sims.

My bet is that the Huskers try to have Haarberg throw as little as possible in an effort to lower the risk as much as possible.

At least four sacks

The pass rush delivered a week ago with eight sacks and through two weeks, Nebraska football is tied for the FBS lead in sacks with 11. Cameron Lenhardt has really come on as a freshman, while Tony White has done a nice job of creating pressure with stunts and blitzes.

Ty Robinson has also done a nice job of getting after the quarterback, plus Riley Van Poppel and Princewill Umanmielen have given the defensive front some added juice. Luke Reimer, Nich Henrich, and Jimari Butler all had sacks last week and Northern Illinois has allowed five in two games.

Eight seems ambitious but Rocky Lombardi isn’t that active so four sacks seem reasonable.

NIU goes nowhere on the ground

A key to success for the defense has been its ability to stop the run. Nebraska football is allowing just 1.9 yards per rush and has a top-10 run defense, holding Colorado and Minnesota under 60 yards rushing.

Northern Illinois will be held under 100 total yards on Saturday, which will put even more pressure on Lombardi and the pass offense.

White will be able to get creative and if the run defense can be as stingy as the first two weeks, it should allow Nebraska to pressure the quarterback, which usually leads to takeaways.

Score prediction: Nebraska 27, NIU 10 

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FOOTBALL

3 keys to a victory for Nebraska football vs. Louisiana Tech

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Sep 16, 2023; Lincoln, Nebraska, USA; Nebraska Cornhuskers head coach Matt Rhule during the third quarter against the Northern Illinois Huskies at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports

Nebraska football will be looking for a second straight win on Saturday and here are three keys against Louisiana Tech.

For the second week in a row, Nebraska football will be at home. It’s the second of three straight home games and the Huskers will be looking to take advantage of their incredible home-field advantage once again.

Before big bad Michigan comes to Lincoln on Sept. 30, Nebraska football will have a final non-conference game against Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs are 2-2 but have been really up and down in the second season under head coach Sonny Cumbie.

Louisiana Tech runs an air-raid offense but does have a couple of talented running backs. Quarterback Hank Bachmeier is a Boise State transfer but is questionable for the game on Saturday due to a shoulder injury.

The defense ranks 100th in scoring defense. Louisiana Tech is 63rd in scoring offense and while Nebraska football has its own question marks, such as who will start at quarterback? The Huskers are a 19-point favorite and here are three keys to a win on Saturday.

Keep stuffing the run

When you think of Louisiana Tech, you don’t necessarily think of a running team, but the Bulldogs average 5.1 yards per attempt and 181 yards per game on the ground. True freshman Keith Willis has 240 rushing yards and averages 7.3 yards per attempt. Tyre Shelton averages 10.2 yards per attempt and is also over 200 yards for the season.

But if there is one thing Nebraska football has excelled at it is run defense. The Huskers have held each of their opponents to fewer than 60 yards rushing. They also rank among college football’s top five in rushing yards per game (46.3) and rushing yards allowed per attempt (1.7).

If that continues on Saturday, I feel really good about Nebraska’s chances of winning without incident. Yet, if the Bulldogs can find success on the ground, things could get interesting.

Hit the quarterback, whoever it is

Whether it’s Bachmeier or Jack Turner who has thrown for 146 yards and a touchdown this season, as well as an interception, Nebraska football needs to hit the quarterback and it should have an easy time getting home.

Louisiana Tech ranks 110th in the FBS in terms of sacks allowed per game. The Bulldogs have allowed 11 total and that’s an average of 2.75 sacks per game. Nebraska football is in the top five in college football with 14 sacks total and 4.6 per game.

The Huskers have done a great job of getting pressure from different levels. Tony White has done a great job of creating blitzes and the defensive line is also winning one-on-ones.

This feels like a game where the Huskers shouldn’t have a problem getting four or five sacks, especially if Nebraska football is able to build a double-digit lead and pin its ears back.

Run the damn ball

It’s not ideal that Nebraska football lost two of its top three running backs to season-ending injuries, but the Huskers should be licking their chops this week.

Louisiana Tech is allowing 4.9 yards per rushing attempt which doesn’t bode well against a Nebraska ground game that is second in the Big Ten, ranked in the top 25 nationally, and averages 5.1 per rush.

Nebraska is getting 209 yards per game and the quarterbacks have been a big part of it. Whether Jeff Sims gets the start of Heinrich Haarberg, I expect plenty of quarterback runs again.

With Anthony Grant taking over as the bell cow, Nebraska is going to need to lean on its quarterbacks and even if Haarberg isn’t the starter, I want to see both utilized in the running game, because it has been one of the most effective parts of the offense through three games.

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FB RECRUITING

Nebraska Football lands athletic playmaker in JD Crisp

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Mandatory Credit: Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports

Nebraska football continues to recruit for the 2024 class. They picked up a commitment from 2024 wide receiver JD Crisp on Wednesday afternoon. Crisp played both sides of the football in high school, playing both defensive back and wide receiver for Second Baptist High School.

He is not ranked in the 247Sports regular or Composite Rankings. However, he does have a solid offer sheet.  Crisp had seven offers in total, including one from Minnesota. He was officially offered by the program on September 16 and quickly made his decision.

It’s also worth noting that his recruitment was active throughout the summer. He attended Texas A&M Aggies camp on June 14. At the very least, he garnered interest from a prominent Texas school. That is notable in of itself.

What could he bring to Nebraska football?

It’s interesting that he is a two-way player. He played both the receiver and safety positions in high school. As far as Nebraska is concerned, I could certainly see him playing at receiver. He has as a tremendous amount of athleticism, and played mostly on the outside and high school. Crisp was very good at catching in space, and making contested catches and tight windows.

Playing receiver would make sense for him, given Nebraska’s lack of depth at the position moving forward. He has the agility and ability to become a solid piece if developed properly.

Nevertheless, he has overall qualities that could make him a good safety as well. This coaching staff loves the opportunity to work with athletes and molding them as they see fit. His ability to fire off the football and read a play certainly stands out.

The commitment of Crisp adds to a 2024 recruiting class that ranks 24th overall nationally. The class itself is stacked with talent. It currently has 25 commitments in total.

It will be interesting to see what Crisp can do for Nebraska football. He is definitely more of a project player. Nevertheless, his athleticism and speed is intriguing. One of this coaching staff’s strengths is identifying how players fit into the program. They will have to do that with Crisp.

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FOOTBALL

5 things to watch for Nebraska football vs. Louisiana Tech

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Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports

Nebraska football will be looking for win No. 2 on Saturday against Louisiana Tech and here are five things to watch.

As the Huskers get set for their second home game of the 2023 season, as well as the final non-conference game for Nebraska football, there are plenty of lingering questions.

We do know that Gabe Ervin and Rahmir Johnson are out for the season. That means Anthony Grant will be the bell-cow running back this week, although we don’t know who will start at quarterback.

There are some other things to explore in the Nebraska football vs. Louisiana Tech matchup and here are five things to watch for the Huskers on Saturday.

Who will start at quarterback?

It sounds like the quarterback reps are being split about 50-50 this week among Jeff Sims and Heinrich Haarberg. Last week, Sims was the No. 3 quarterback so it might be a stretch for him to play Saturday.

Matt Rhule even said that while Sims was throwing well, he wasn’t moving the way the coaching staff wanted. The quarterbacks have shouldered a heavy load in the running game so far this season and if Sims ankle isn’t 100 percent, there’s no sense in bringing him back early.

Haarberg completed 14-of-24 passes last week and had two touchdowns. He also impacted the game with his running ability and a similar gameplan to last week wouldn’t be a big surprise.

Can Anthony Grant protect the ball?

Anthony Grant is a proven performer. He was just shy of 1,000 yards last season, so there’s no doubt about his ability. Grant just needs to prove he can take care of the ball.

Even if he can’t, Grant is going to be the No. 1 back. He’s probably going to get about 20 carries per game. So far, Grant has 16 carries for 74 yards and a touchdown.  Emmett Johnson is another talented dude who deserves some opportunities but the Huskers have to be able to rely on Grant and that starts this weekend.

Nebraska should be in line for a few more sacks

The Huskers are ranked third in the country in terms of sacks with 14 total and 4.67 per game. That’s good news for Nebraska football and bad news for Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs have played four games but have also allowed 11 sacks or nearly three per game. That ranks Louisiana Tech 110th per game.

We don’t know if Nebraska will have Cameron Lenhardt this weekend, but I don’t know that it matters. The defensive line has been winning against everyone and if the Huskers can apply pressure to Louisiana Tech Hank Bachmeier, it should greatly improve their chances of avoiding an upset.

Louisiana Tech can run the ball too

Sonny Cumbie is known for his fondness of throwing the ball, but the Bulldogs average 181 yards per game and have two running backs with more than 200 rushing yards and each averages at least 7.3 yards per carry.

Keith Willis Jr. has 33 attempts for 240 yards and three touchdowns. Tyre Shelton is also over 200 yards and has just 21 carries. Louisiana Tech is throwing for 225 yards per game. Smoke Harris is a dangerous threat at receiver and has 288 yards as well as 24 receptions.

But a huge key for Nebraska football will be the run defense. The Huskers are allowing just 1.7 yards per rush. The first three teams were also held under 60 yards rushing so Louisiana Tech will have its work cut out for it in terms of matching its season averages.

The Bulldogs haven’t seen a D-line pairing like Ty Robinson and Nash Hutcmaher so far this season.

Avoiding the turnover bug

With a defense that’s playing really well and a running game that’s second in the Big Ten going into conference play, the Huskers shouldn’t have problems with Louisiana Tech.

However, turnovers are a quick way to even the playing field. Nebraska football only gave the ball away once last week and it would be great to see them put up a zero in that category for the first time in 2023.

If Sims plays, we’ll see if he can take care of the ball. Grant needs to do the same and although Haarberg did well last week, it would be to get through a game without any turnovers by the quarterback.

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